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View Full Version : Lines seem high plays/fades


saidzeppelin
11-19-2005, 08:48 AM
These lines seem a bit high and I can see some backdoor covers... I have been dreadful in NCAAF this year so have avoided posting much but these lines stuck out.

1 unit plays

Ktucky + 27(They are dreadful this year but this line seems high could see a backdoor here) (LOSS)

Old Miss + 17 (OM plays tough D and is better at home. LSU just got off a Major emotional game. I still recall the Bama old Miss game, should be an under as well) (LOSS)

Oaklahomos - +7.5(This could go either way, TT has those blow your doors off games but it's been a while and Oak has gotten better) (WIN)

UAB +7.5 (Pretty even matchup) (WIN)

Bama +7.5 (Bama is 5 - 1 ATS since 92 against the Burn) (LOSS)

Virg +7 (Tough at home! Has VT recovered from the Hurricane ass whooping they took?) (LOSS)

MSU +8.5 (How much do they want a bowl(not crack)?? John L sucks as a coach but if they cannot get up and keep this under a TD he should be fired(ahhhh fire him anyways)... (LOSS)

Air Force +13 (Just seems high even though AF has struggled this year) (WIN)

Utah +10 (This line seems off by about 4 or 5) (WIN)

3 units

Syracuse +34 (ND will call off the dogs in the second half. Charlie is too classy to humiliate anyone. Can Syra score at all with that pile of shit O is the question) They should score at least 10 - 14 I would think.. (WIN)


5 units

Fresno State +24 (This should be a good game. FSU is no joke and this is their BCS bowl game) I can actually see this as a potential upset of the decade if USC takes them lightly... FSU lives for these kind of games and their kids will play harder than they ever have.. I love this game... I may play the first half for FSU as well and may hit this line harder.. This team can score and plays solid D, I know they have not played anyone the calibur of USC but they are very well coached and will be as ready as they can be... (WIN)


BOL to all... Hope I can get some positive Karma as the NCAAF has been brutal this year and the NFL has been great...

SMASH
11-19-2005, 09:06 AM
Good picks SaidZep.

I like your thinking on ND. They played dead last week towards the end of the game and it cost me.

GL Today!!!!



:thumbs:

saidzeppelin
11-19-2005, 09:12 AM
Yes SMASH, I may hit the first half for ND and minus the points but the second half we will see the second if not third string. I can also see ND thinking about Stanford here. If they lose that game to Stan they will lose millions on a bowl bid and it has to clog the brain a bit. Anyone that thinks ND will go roll Stanford is sadley mistaken, that will be a very difficult game, it always is no matter how good or bad they are....


BOl with you plays SMASH!!!!

:yeah:

BIGBALLER
11-19-2005, 09:28 AM
GL today saidzep!!:thumbs:

birdsfan5
11-19-2005, 09:29 AM
GL SaidZep

SMASH
11-19-2005, 09:33 AM
Thanks SaidZep.

I think I'm going to go with ya on the first half of ND, that makes good sense.
Also I like your plays on:
VIRGINIA
OKLAHOMA
BAMA

I am on the other side of Penn ST. but the others I haven't looked at, so I hope you hit all of them!!!

GL

saidzeppelin
11-19-2005, 09:35 AM
Thanks and BOL Smash, Baller and Birds....


:cheers:

saidzeppelin
11-19-2005, 09:39 AM
Originally posted by SMASH
Thanks SaidZep.

I think I'm going to go with ya on the first half of ND, that makes good sense.
Also I like your plays on:
VIRGINIA
OKLAHOMA
BAMA

I am on the other side of Penn ST. but the others I haven't looked at, so I hope you hit all of them!!!

GL


Just remember Smash, "good sense" has no place in college f-ball as I have learned this year(LMFAO). I cap these games hard and many weeks weeks it does not matter. NFL has been far more predictable this year for me.. I do think I will bang down a unit or 2 on ND in the first half as Syra is one of the worst teams I have seen this year next to Tulane and Cinci. I have not had the pleasure of seeing Temple(LOL)!!! These picks are more gut feelings and less hard capping...

PackerBacker
11-19-2005, 09:41 AM
Lets go Fresno!!! GL saidzeppelin!!!!

saidzeppelin
11-19-2005, 09:46 AM
Originally posted by PackerBacker
Lets go Fresno!!! GL saidzeppelin!!!!


I would laugh my a$$ off if FSU upset USC. They would be talking about it for years, not likely but this is college football after all... I hope you nail your picks PB!!!

:prtytme:

SMASH
11-19-2005, 09:49 AM
Originally posted by saidzeppelin
Just remember Smash, "good sense" has no place in college f-ball as I have learned this year(LMFAO). I cap these games hard and many weeks weeks it does not matter.

I hear ya Said. Like in the NFL last week MINN beating NYG, I liked the points but didn't play because NYG should have killed them. You never know! Or like Dan Patrick used to say about the NBA "it's the NBA, anyone can make a run!"

I haven't even checked the weather for ND yet. But I will before I play it.

:thumbs:

saidzeppelin
11-19-2005, 09:55 AM
Originally posted by SMASH
I hear ya Said. Like in the NFL last week MINN beating NYG, I liked the points but didn't play because NYG should have killed them. You never know! Or like Dan Patrick used to say about the NBA "it's the NBA, anyone can make a run!"

I haven't even checked the weather for ND yet. But I will before I play it.

:thumbs:


Yes, the G-man screwed me last week.. First losing week in a while in the NFL. I had the bastards at +2 and even on about 4 teasers and they screwed me out of about 10 units.. I felt funny about that game but ignored my gut... AHHHHH welll such is the life of wagering... It makes games more fun none the less...

:gulp:

SMASH
11-19-2005, 10:03 AM
GL!

:thumbs:

saidzeppelin
11-20-2005, 11:15 AM
Finally a good day in the NCAAF

6 - 5 for a win of approx 10 units. Hit the big unit games which made for a good day. Hope you all got to see USC/Fresno play, what a great game. FSU had several chances to steal that game but the QB had some bad judgement plays. It was also hilarious to see the Miami shit for brains lose to GT. They must have spent so much time patting themselves on the back for the win over VT they forgot to practice(LOL)!!!

DJTranks
11-21-2005, 09:12 AM
Nice!!