yo week 9

[yomonte]

22-31

Don't let my YTD fool ya, I suck worse than that LOL

By the time I got home on Fri, the lines moved so much, I did'nt get to play a few I liked. I see the line moving on two I played, maybe 3

SD -6

SD has twice come to play on the east coast and covered both times. This one were the line goes to about 9. What have the Jets got that they can keep up with this team that has so much momentum and just playing with alot of heart.

Atl -2

I think -2 has a nice ring to it LOL, Alot of value in Atl only giving up two to this team

Sea -4

The least fav of my picks but maybe more a play against Ariz than a play on Sea. Sea is an all around better team. Ariz has a long way to go and I don't think they get there.

Indy -3

I really should play the over on this one. NE may have stopped a few and looked good without some of their key players, but the buck stops here. This is another I see moving up about 3-4 pts by game time. Indy is going to murdelize NE. murdelize I say LOL

There are 8 teams in bye situations. 4 playing before a bye and 4 playing after. Its a wait and see on these 8.

GL

[DJTranks]

GL Yomonte!!

[yomonte]

Thanx DJ, I'm going to need it. I played these on a gut feeling and just noticed 3 are coming off a bye. Not since week one has 3 teams covered the spead in this situation. Atl, Indy, NYJ and Sea. I'm sure the Jets will be one of the losers but the last 2 weeks teams coming off a bye are 2-6. Now that sux. OH FK WELL

[DJTranks]

Coming off a bye is always tough!

Looking forward to the Indy game!

[bookiekilla]

Originally posted by yomonte
Atl -2



:thumbs: :thumbs:

GO FALCONS!

[BaMan]

GL Yomonte!!!!

bkilla-U better get on it soon lol , line will probly climb to 3 or 4...IMO

[bookiekilla]

Originally posted by BaMan
GL Yomonte!!!!

bkilla-U better get on it soon lol , line will probly climb to 3 or 4...IMO


I'll be on it soon....just trying to decide how much I want to put on this.......waiting to see how I do in the college football game tonight...

[bookiekilla]

just got on the moneyline on this @ -120:gulp:

GO FALCONS!

[DJTranks]

Bookie-

Falcons line seems low to me? What am I missing- they have been solid on the road and Miami not the most impressive team..

[Rothko1000]

Knock'em dead this weekend, Yo! :gulp:

[yomonte]

Originally posted by bookiekilla
just got on the moneyline on this @ -120:gulp:

GO FALCONS!

Damn, my book does'nt have totals or ML up yet, daaaaamn

[BIGBALLER]

GL this wknd yomonte!!:thumbs:

[yomonte]

Cin/Balt un 37

Cin games 6-1 under
Balt games 5-2 under

[birdsfan5]

GL Yo

[DJTranks]

Getting ready for a nice sunday- GL Yomonte- rock this shit out!!!!!! :yeah:

[jcballer1]

yooooooooooooooooo GL yo :thumbs:

chargers are gonna rock this wknd i am all over that too!

GL to all

[yomonte]

GL everyone

Teams that travel

PST to EST= EST 5-4
PST to MST=MST 1-0-1
PST to CST=CST 0-1
PST vs PST=Home 1-1
MST to PST=PST 1-0
MST to EST=EST 3-1
MST to CST=CST 1-0
CST to EST=EST 9-7
CST to MST=MST 2-1
CST to PST=PST 5-3
CST vs CST=Home 4-2 Fav 3-3
EST to CST=CST 11-11
EST to PST=PST 4-2
EST to MST=MST 2-2
EST vs EST=Road teams 15-14-1 Favs 12-17-2

PST to EST=unders 2-7
PST to MST=unders 1-1
PST to CST=unders 0-1
PST vs PST=unders 1-0
MST to EST=unders 1-3
MST to PST=unders 0-1
MST to CST=unders 0-1
CST to EST=unders 10-6
CST to MST=unders 3-0
CST to PST=unders 3-5
CST vs CST=unders 3-4
EST to PST=unders 3-3
EST to CST=unders 14-7
EST to MST=unders 0-4
EST vs EST=unders 15-12-3

Lines that open at 1-1.5 are 7-2 for the under

Lines that open at 6-6.5 is 7-4 for the dog

Lines that open at 7 is 4-1 for the over

Lines that open at 5.5 is 4-1 for the under

Lines that open at 2 are 7-2 for the road team

Teams after a bye that are a road dog, the under is 6-1.

Teams before a bye are 15-13 ATS and 11-16-1 for the under.

Teams after a bye are 10-10 and 13-6-1 for the under.

Ariz has not covered as a dog this season

GL today

[The War Dogs]

Good luck Yo!

[TropicalMan7]

Hello -

yomonte, I love the stats. Very interesting. Where do you get them? I'm impressed if you do them yourself.

Keep up the good work.


Brian

[yomonte]

TM7, I do track all of this. But seems that by using opening lines, which I think best descibes what the book feels is a safe # for them to get an even ammount on both sides. My #'s seem to be different on half the teams that the match ups section has here. I have the giants as 6-1 ATS this year and quite a few more that are different.

Ariz is 0-4 as a dog and 2-1 as a fav.

Atl is 3-1 at home ATS

Balt is 2-0 as a home fav

Chi games are 6-1 for the un

Cin is 3-0 as a road fav

Cin is 6-2 for the under

Cle games are 6-1 for the under

Den is 4-1 as a home fav

Jax is 3-0 as a road dog

Min is 0-4 as a road dog

NE games are 5-1-1 for the over

NE is 1-2 as a home fav

NYG are 6-1 ATS

Phil is 2-5 ATS

STL games are 6-2 for the over

TB games are 6-1 for the under

All the W/L are ATS

Alot of this stuff has nothing to do with todays or MNF games, but something I look at each week and keep track of. I looked at all teams but the above are the only ones that are worth posting. I'm going to take the ov in the Ten/Cle game but my book was down changing lines or something. They have the highest us/we (public)% sitting at 89% for the under. I think both teams finally get to score some pts LOL

[rjp]

It's going to be hot as balls in Miami and they're looking ahead. LOL

I know, one for each side there, but ATL has the best odds to win, IMO.

Fuck the Falcons. :bang:

Panthers :yeah:

[yomonte]

Tenn/Cle ov 36.5

Jus fadin' the us/we%

GL today

[yomonte]

Did anybody that watched the Fox pregame show see what the weather was going to be like ANYWHERE LOL. I still have a lump in my throat. Jeeeeeeez

[bookiekilla]

Originally posted by rjp
It's going to be hot as balls in Miami and they're looking ahead. LOL

I know, one for each side there, but ATL has the best odds to win, IMO.

Fuck the Falcons. :bang:

Panthers :yeah:

Fuck the Panthers....but they win today:thumbs:

GO FALCONS!:gulp:

[yomonte]

go falcons

[Thor24]

Uncle Yo...Long Time no Talk...Guess Ya have to Take me Fishing Next Summer..??..BOL today..Hammer em..!!...:cool:

[yomonte]

Yeppir Thor, I promise to make a trip down to montecove next summer. I promise. Do they have any cat fish there.

[yomonte]

I made a statement in another thread. If Det wins, GB wins. If Min wins Pitt wins. I see Min winning this one with on 7 mins left in the fourth. 27-14

EST teams traveling to CST have split every week. And the total has split every week as well. Also, opening lines of 6 is 4-2 for the away team.

Pitt -3
Pitt/GB un 37

Opening lines of 4-4.5 have split. This is what I call the law of avgs.

Chi/NO ov 34

[yomonte]

Phil/Wash un 39.5

Lines that open at 1-1.5 are 7-2 for the under. There were three games today that opened at that #. Both 1:00 games. Both went over. Time for an under.

[BillyBarooooooo]

Read it!


What is the results on a Road team that is going on a bye the following week!This was money last year!!!


Also what about Road teams that were Favs that move to a dog!


I think the home fav have been having there way with this one too!!!!! Don't have the numbers but Minnesota and Washington were the plays today!!!!






Good stuff



BB:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Oh yeah and

Past 30 days!!!! Wow Go Favorites LMAO they cleaned house today!!!!

Against The Spread (ATS)

Category Record Percent
Away Teams 30-36-3 45.45%
Home Teams 36-30-3 54.55%
Favorites 41-24-3 63.08%
Dogs 24-41-3 36.92%
Away Favorites 12-7-1 63.16%
Away Dogs 17-29-2 36.96%
Home Favorites 29-17-2 63.04%
Home Dogs 7-12-0 36.84%


Over vs. Under

Category Overs Percent Unders Percent
Non-Overtime Games 34 52.31% 31 47.69%
Overtime Games 1 33.33% 2 66.67%
All Games 35 51.47% 33 48.53%


For the season!!!!
Against The Spread (ATS)

Category Record Percent
Away Teams 56-69-4 44.80%
Home Teams 69-56-4 55.20%
Favorites 70-53-4 56.91%
Dogs 53-70-4 43.09%
Away Favorites 17-16-1 51.52%
Away Dogs 37-53-3 41.11%
Home Favorites 53-37-3 58.89%
Home Dogs 16-17-0 48.48%


Over vs. Under

Category Overs Percent Unders Percent
Non-Overtime Games 59 47.58% 65 52.42%
Overtime Games 2 50.00% 2 50.00%
All Games 61 47.66% 67 52.34%


BB

:thumbs:

[BillyBarooooooo]

Fucken I hate people who bump stupid shit, cause Than this gets pushed to the bottom of page two!!!!


BB

[beancounter]

BB

do you have stats for dogs that won SU and favs that won SU but lost ATS?

you da man

:bbang:

[DJTranks]

Nice stuff BB!

[Stifler's Mom]

Originally posted by beancounter
BB

do you have stats for dogs that won SU and favs that won SU but lost ATS?

you da man

:bbang:

I do, just haven't updated it in 2 weeks, lol

Dogs that cover normally do win SU

[beancounter]

Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
I do, just haven't updated it in 2 weeks, lol

Dogs that cover normally do win SU


that is what I am trying to figure out...I think I can just put my $ on the dog ML and be better off in the long run than just the dog ATS, if I think the dog will cover.

[BillyBarooooooo]

Was hoping Yo would see this tonight but guessing he is at work already! I can't believe this got bumped to page two!


Wife has me putting together a computer desk so have a good night!


BB:thumbs:

[yomonte]

Billy,I felt like shit Monday morn, and did'nt have my usual time on the PC before leaving. And I'm gooing back tomorrow (Sat).

I remember you mentioning the road team gig before the bye, but I guess I forgot about it. I try to find every angle on the bye gig. I'll look at it and see what is consistant.

Stif, I let my stuff go two weeks and I paid dearly for it. Not again, I tell ya, not again LOL