WildBillPicks7
09-27-2005, 03:48 PM
6-4 last week, -.3 units...Early week NCAA games drive folks nuts as evidenced by the number of selections already from the UC Forum. Can only remember Minnesota, Oregon, Wazzoo State & Okie State covering as favorites thus far on ESPN/ESPN2/ESPNU televised games thus far on weeknights. Dogs covering, TCU, Army, Tennessee, E.Mich, Vandy, Central Flo, Central Mich, Arizona, Ole Miss, Ohio U. Pretty much a dog ruled cover so far.
Tonight's game for me blows...too many coin tosses. One bit of trend info I found is that Toledo is 0-3 travelling to the west coast ATS. Fresno covering double digits is horrendous as well, 0-10 on televised games laying more than 9 1/2.
Here's my plays for this week, note that 5 unit plays are 1-2 thus far..Time to catch fire!!
Wednesday, 9-28
Cincinnati +11 (1 unit) Bearcats in-state game vs Miami Oh!
Thursday, 9-29
Air Force +4 (1 unit) Flyboys back door covered Utah last week and CSU doesn't stop the run very well, evidenced by last years' humiliating loss to AF 47-17.
Friday, 9-30
Pitt pk (3 units) Pitt opened a pick, Rutgers then a favorite at -1 and back to pickem. Something is fishy about this game. Pitt won this game outright 41-17 last year at home. Rutgers has had how many quality wins vs anyone in the top 40? Pitt is 19-3 straight up vs Rutgers. Palko is a hot n cold QB. Pitt loss at Nebraska to a very stingy defensive club 7-6 and missed a game winning fg. They got embarassed by the Ohio Bobcats on ESPN. I think that Dave will have his boys finally looking for a way to win the way he wants. Pitt 27 Rutgers 20
Saturday, 10-1
Oklahoma State +4 (3 units) Colorado is tough on carpet, however, they can't be that much improved after getting beaten at home 42-14 last year to this same Okie State club that has a quality defense, something that Miami-Fla showed the Buffs. I feel the Buffs will still be hungover from last Saturday's game and Okie State in a dog role is just wrong! Okie State 42 Colorado21
Nebraska -3 (2 units, bought 1/2 pt -120) Cornhusker defense should be the difference in this tilt. ISU looked horrible vs Army last week. If Callahan has half a brain (going to the Superbowl has to mean some accomplishment in his life career), I'm sure he studied the game filmw over and over from the Army and with their loss at Ames last year, I'm sure Bill will have the BIG RED seeing RED all week and the offense should open up finally with midget Ross gaining close to 200 yrds vs the Cyclone poorous defensive line. Huskers 42 ISU 10
Over 37 ISU/Nebraska (4 units)
Over 51 1/2 UNLV/Wyoming (2 units) Series average close to 77 pts, this game last year in OT won by Wyoming 53-45. Mile high air should get to the Rebs in the 2nd half.
Utah +3 1/2 (4 units) This line hit me like a cream pie in the face when it came out with UNC -3. Utes in a dog role vs a club that played an intra-state rivalry game and laid it all out on the line last week coming home to a club that is just starting to gel under the young QB of the Utes. The Utes also do play defense, something that Ga Tech & Wisky gave UNC fits with. Utah wins straight up 28-17.
Central Michigan +11 (1 unit) This line is off by at least 4 pts and I'm counting on CMU to prove it right. CMU 24 Akron 21
South Carolina +13 (2 units)Again back Steve'y Superiors club that will show Auburn how much offense they're desperately missing this year. South Carolina played horribly vs Bama and they should be pumped up here on the road as a DD dog. Visitor in series is 2-0 and Auburn 2-10 before a bye week. Auburn 28 South Carolina 20?
Arkansas State -1 (5 units, bought 1/2 -120) ASU humiliated Flo Int'l last weekend while ULM went to Florida and beat Flo Atlantic straight up. Last year ULM lost 28-21 in Jonesboro and ASU is much improved over last year's performance. Visitor also 4-0 last 4 in series. ASU 35 ULM 27.
Under 70 1/2 Boise/Hawaii (1 unit) Boise destroyed Hawaii on the mainland 69-3 and this series has averaged over 78 ppg. USC ran all over Hawaii however I doubt BSU is capable of doing the same thing vs Hawaii as USC is the class of football right now. Hawaii shut out an Idaho club that actually put points on the board vs Wazoo and U Wash and UNLV. For Hawaii to shut out Idaho on the mainland means that, (A.) Hawaii found a defense or (B.) Idaho left their offense in the cheerleaders' locker room! Boise 35 Hawaii 31.
GLTA
WB
Tonight's game for me blows...too many coin tosses. One bit of trend info I found is that Toledo is 0-3 travelling to the west coast ATS. Fresno covering double digits is horrendous as well, 0-10 on televised games laying more than 9 1/2.
Here's my plays for this week, note that 5 unit plays are 1-2 thus far..Time to catch fire!!
Wednesday, 9-28
Cincinnati +11 (1 unit) Bearcats in-state game vs Miami Oh!
Thursday, 9-29
Air Force +4 (1 unit) Flyboys back door covered Utah last week and CSU doesn't stop the run very well, evidenced by last years' humiliating loss to AF 47-17.
Friday, 9-30
Pitt pk (3 units) Pitt opened a pick, Rutgers then a favorite at -1 and back to pickem. Something is fishy about this game. Pitt won this game outright 41-17 last year at home. Rutgers has had how many quality wins vs anyone in the top 40? Pitt is 19-3 straight up vs Rutgers. Palko is a hot n cold QB. Pitt loss at Nebraska to a very stingy defensive club 7-6 and missed a game winning fg. They got embarassed by the Ohio Bobcats on ESPN. I think that Dave will have his boys finally looking for a way to win the way he wants. Pitt 27 Rutgers 20
Saturday, 10-1
Oklahoma State +4 (3 units) Colorado is tough on carpet, however, they can't be that much improved after getting beaten at home 42-14 last year to this same Okie State club that has a quality defense, something that Miami-Fla showed the Buffs. I feel the Buffs will still be hungover from last Saturday's game and Okie State in a dog role is just wrong! Okie State 42 Colorado21
Nebraska -3 (2 units, bought 1/2 pt -120) Cornhusker defense should be the difference in this tilt. ISU looked horrible vs Army last week. If Callahan has half a brain (going to the Superbowl has to mean some accomplishment in his life career), I'm sure he studied the game filmw over and over from the Army and with their loss at Ames last year, I'm sure Bill will have the BIG RED seeing RED all week and the offense should open up finally with midget Ross gaining close to 200 yrds vs the Cyclone poorous defensive line. Huskers 42 ISU 10
Over 37 ISU/Nebraska (4 units)
Over 51 1/2 UNLV/Wyoming (2 units) Series average close to 77 pts, this game last year in OT won by Wyoming 53-45. Mile high air should get to the Rebs in the 2nd half.
Utah +3 1/2 (4 units) This line hit me like a cream pie in the face when it came out with UNC -3. Utes in a dog role vs a club that played an intra-state rivalry game and laid it all out on the line last week coming home to a club that is just starting to gel under the young QB of the Utes. The Utes also do play defense, something that Ga Tech & Wisky gave UNC fits with. Utah wins straight up 28-17.
Central Michigan +11 (1 unit) This line is off by at least 4 pts and I'm counting on CMU to prove it right. CMU 24 Akron 21
South Carolina +13 (2 units)Again back Steve'y Superiors club that will show Auburn how much offense they're desperately missing this year. South Carolina played horribly vs Bama and they should be pumped up here on the road as a DD dog. Visitor in series is 2-0 and Auburn 2-10 before a bye week. Auburn 28 South Carolina 20?
Arkansas State -1 (5 units, bought 1/2 -120) ASU humiliated Flo Int'l last weekend while ULM went to Florida and beat Flo Atlantic straight up. Last year ULM lost 28-21 in Jonesboro and ASU is much improved over last year's performance. Visitor also 4-0 last 4 in series. ASU 35 ULM 27.
Under 70 1/2 Boise/Hawaii (1 unit) Boise destroyed Hawaii on the mainland 69-3 and this series has averaged over 78 ppg. USC ran all over Hawaii however I doubt BSU is capable of doing the same thing vs Hawaii as USC is the class of football right now. Hawaii shut out an Idaho club that actually put points on the board vs Wazoo and U Wash and UNLV. For Hawaii to shut out Idaho on the mainland means that, (A.) Hawaii found a defense or (B.) Idaho left their offense in the cheerleaders' locker room! Boise 35 Hawaii 31.
GLTA
WB