WildBillPicks7
07-26-2005, 10:40 AM
Yeah, it's early and workouts will be getting heavy soon, not with Suzanne Sommers though....OH!!!!!!!!!
There are a few coaching changes that will make impacts this year and several schools who had great years last year, have a lot to replace as well as tougher schedules.
You have to pick your poison very carefully and pray that the injury bug don't bite your team this year. Also don't fall into the trap of tailing your alma mater or your favorite club as betting with your heart can really melt away your bankroll...
USC went 13-0 last year as we all know and have their Heisman QB back as well as Bush and they had a pretty good recruiting year. They return only 5 defensive starters, however, who's going to stop this team from scoring 38 pts a game like last year? Their over/under for wins is 11 and I see them duplicating that feat this year. Toughest opponents or improved clubs they'll have challenging them will be Notre Dame and UCLA whom were both handled last year, this year UCLA is at home.
(1 unit) over 11 wins -140.
Tennessee 10-3 last year has 7 offensive players returning with two potential first round players in RB Riggs and DE Haralson. Receiving corps and QB Ainge should put up some points. This team scored 29 points and allowed 23 last year. The defense should be much improved. 8 1/2 wins this year shouldn't be a problem unless there is a severe meltdown, Over 8 1/2 wins -110(2 units)
Texas was 11-1 last year. 11-1? Is that right? Yes it's true and they did most of this with one of the best athletes in the Nation at QB in Young. 7 offensive starters return and 9 defensive players for a club that scored 35 pts and allowed 18 and only loss was to Oklahoma. The OU/Texas game this year should be very very inter-rest-tink! Over 9 wins with Ohio State and Oklahoma on the schedule and laying -170 is a challenge. I'll pass!
Michigan over 9 wins +130 (3 units) I think the Maize & Blue are very-under-rated this year with a very quietly talked about QB in Henn and WR Avant coming back. This club average 31 pts per game last year and yes, a lot had to do with Edwards who's now in the NFL, however this club always has studs waiting in the wings and this year in no exception. Iowa & Ohio State should be the toughest clubs they play.
LSU under 9 1/2 (1 unit) I just don't see how coach Miles coming in for Saban is going to duplicate the success the Tigers had last year. They have a lot of talent coming back and a huge QB that can throw the pigskin however I see Florida, Alabama and Tennessee putting losses on the Tigers this year.
One of the best props I saw was Florida Gators at 8 1/2 wins this year. This club has a great up and coming coach in Urban Meyer who we all know about, however we don't hear a lot of talk about one of the most gifted QB's in the land in Chris "Take a Peek" Leak. This kid can throw the ball just as accurately as Donovan McNabb did at Syracuse and we all know how the gators have other great athletes as well. This club had 7 wins last year and lost some close ones in the 5 games they lost, 4 of which was 7 pts or less, 2 of 3 pts or less. They have a great chance to redeem themselves over Tennessee which should be a classic game to watch as well as LSU, Mississippi State and Georgia. Don't be surprised if this club averages over 35 pts per game and makes a huge improvement on defense.
Over 8 1/2 wins including a Bowl Game (4 units)
Another club that I feel is getting no respect here is Boston College who won 9 games last year and returns a lot of studs, #12 in defense and they have a QB with a great arm in Quinton Porter. I look for them to beat Florida State at home this year as well in their 3rd game of the season. Only 6 1/2 wins predicted for their first year in the ACC? Wasn't Va Tech new to the ACC last year? Hmmm... BC could be a great value play here at over 6 1/2 wins -125 (3 units) as they should have no trouble getting to at least 7 wins.
I hate to piss of Boilerbackers here, however winning more than 8 1/2 games as Notre Dame, Wisconsin and Iowa are going to be very tough games to give them more than 7 wins they got last year is going to be a challenge even with 11 starters back on defense. They lost by 3 to Wisky at home, by 2 at home to Michigan, by 3 at N'western of all places and by 2 at Iowa. This year they have Notre, Iowa and N'western at home back to back to back and then go to Wiskyville. Orton is gone and Kirsch got plenty of playing time last year, however you have to score points to win games and the defense can't do it alone. 8 wins not including a bowl game is a challenge in laying -200..I'll pass on this one.
Boise State won 11 games last and predicted for 9 1/2 this year. I'll take over 9 1/2 as they should get 10 at season's end including a bowl game. Over 9 1/2 even (5 units)
Texas A&M over 7 1/2 wins even (1 unit) 7 wins last year and Franchione has a talented QB that must stay healthy in McNeal to get a quality win vs Clemson, Oklahoma, Texas, Colorado, and Texas Tech this year to get them over the 7 1/2, plus a bowl game hopefully.
Cal under 8 1/2 wins, -115 (2 units) Without Rodgers, this club is going to struggle early, no matter how great of a QB coach Tedford is. Cal Bears return 3 offensive players, lost RB Arrington as well and 6 defensive starters that allowed 17 points last year per game. 8 Wins will be an accomplishment and they have a gift schedule with Sacramento State, Illinois, New Mexico State, and they'll have improved teams in Oregon and UCLA to cope with as well.
Missouri under 7 1/2 wins -115 (2 units), this club has a nice QB but an over-rated program and head coach. They'll be hardpressed for more than 3 wins this year with only 3 defensive starters for a club that allowed 19 pts per game and scored but 23.
Penn State under 7 wins +120 (1 unit) Joe Pa's club is going to have it rough again however they have 9 starters back on both sides of the ball for a club that had 4 wins last year. 4 wins? Can they improve 3 more games? Very hardpressed when you think about the clubs that beat them last year all improving this year as well. Look at these losses last year, 21-7 at BC, 16-3 at Wisconsin, 16-7 at Minnesota, 20-13 at home vs Purdue, 6-4 at home to Iowa, 21-10 at Ohio State and 14-7 home to N'western. South Florida isn't going to be a cakewalk, Cincy in week 2 and Central Michigan aren't going to be chip shots as well. Minnesota, Ohio State, Purdue and Wisky all at home, and at N'western, Michigan, Illinois and Michigan State. To get 6 big ten wins is going to be very difficult me thinks, and probably no bowl game once again.
UCLA over 6 1/2 wins -115 (2 units) I see some improvement for the Bruins this year by at least 1 game from their 6-6 record last year, losing in their bowl game. 7 offensive players and 8 defensive players should help improve on their record and they have their QB & RB back which makes a big difference.
GLTA
WB:thumbs:
There are a few coaching changes that will make impacts this year and several schools who had great years last year, have a lot to replace as well as tougher schedules.
You have to pick your poison very carefully and pray that the injury bug don't bite your team this year. Also don't fall into the trap of tailing your alma mater or your favorite club as betting with your heart can really melt away your bankroll...
USC went 13-0 last year as we all know and have their Heisman QB back as well as Bush and they had a pretty good recruiting year. They return only 5 defensive starters, however, who's going to stop this team from scoring 38 pts a game like last year? Their over/under for wins is 11 and I see them duplicating that feat this year. Toughest opponents or improved clubs they'll have challenging them will be Notre Dame and UCLA whom were both handled last year, this year UCLA is at home.
(1 unit) over 11 wins -140.
Tennessee 10-3 last year has 7 offensive players returning with two potential first round players in RB Riggs and DE Haralson. Receiving corps and QB Ainge should put up some points. This team scored 29 points and allowed 23 last year. The defense should be much improved. 8 1/2 wins this year shouldn't be a problem unless there is a severe meltdown, Over 8 1/2 wins -110(2 units)
Texas was 11-1 last year. 11-1? Is that right? Yes it's true and they did most of this with one of the best athletes in the Nation at QB in Young. 7 offensive starters return and 9 defensive players for a club that scored 35 pts and allowed 18 and only loss was to Oklahoma. The OU/Texas game this year should be very very inter-rest-tink! Over 9 wins with Ohio State and Oklahoma on the schedule and laying -170 is a challenge. I'll pass!
Michigan over 9 wins +130 (3 units) I think the Maize & Blue are very-under-rated this year with a very quietly talked about QB in Henn and WR Avant coming back. This club average 31 pts per game last year and yes, a lot had to do with Edwards who's now in the NFL, however this club always has studs waiting in the wings and this year in no exception. Iowa & Ohio State should be the toughest clubs they play.
LSU under 9 1/2 (1 unit) I just don't see how coach Miles coming in for Saban is going to duplicate the success the Tigers had last year. They have a lot of talent coming back and a huge QB that can throw the pigskin however I see Florida, Alabama and Tennessee putting losses on the Tigers this year.
One of the best props I saw was Florida Gators at 8 1/2 wins this year. This club has a great up and coming coach in Urban Meyer who we all know about, however we don't hear a lot of talk about one of the most gifted QB's in the land in Chris "Take a Peek" Leak. This kid can throw the ball just as accurately as Donovan McNabb did at Syracuse and we all know how the gators have other great athletes as well. This club had 7 wins last year and lost some close ones in the 5 games they lost, 4 of which was 7 pts or less, 2 of 3 pts or less. They have a great chance to redeem themselves over Tennessee which should be a classic game to watch as well as LSU, Mississippi State and Georgia. Don't be surprised if this club averages over 35 pts per game and makes a huge improvement on defense.
Over 8 1/2 wins including a Bowl Game (4 units)
Another club that I feel is getting no respect here is Boston College who won 9 games last year and returns a lot of studs, #12 in defense and they have a QB with a great arm in Quinton Porter. I look for them to beat Florida State at home this year as well in their 3rd game of the season. Only 6 1/2 wins predicted for their first year in the ACC? Wasn't Va Tech new to the ACC last year? Hmmm... BC could be a great value play here at over 6 1/2 wins -125 (3 units) as they should have no trouble getting to at least 7 wins.
I hate to piss of Boilerbackers here, however winning more than 8 1/2 games as Notre Dame, Wisconsin and Iowa are going to be very tough games to give them more than 7 wins they got last year is going to be a challenge even with 11 starters back on defense. They lost by 3 to Wisky at home, by 2 at home to Michigan, by 3 at N'western of all places and by 2 at Iowa. This year they have Notre, Iowa and N'western at home back to back to back and then go to Wiskyville. Orton is gone and Kirsch got plenty of playing time last year, however you have to score points to win games and the defense can't do it alone. 8 wins not including a bowl game is a challenge in laying -200..I'll pass on this one.
Boise State won 11 games last and predicted for 9 1/2 this year. I'll take over 9 1/2 as they should get 10 at season's end including a bowl game. Over 9 1/2 even (5 units)
Texas A&M over 7 1/2 wins even (1 unit) 7 wins last year and Franchione has a talented QB that must stay healthy in McNeal to get a quality win vs Clemson, Oklahoma, Texas, Colorado, and Texas Tech this year to get them over the 7 1/2, plus a bowl game hopefully.
Cal under 8 1/2 wins, -115 (2 units) Without Rodgers, this club is going to struggle early, no matter how great of a QB coach Tedford is. Cal Bears return 3 offensive players, lost RB Arrington as well and 6 defensive starters that allowed 17 points last year per game. 8 Wins will be an accomplishment and they have a gift schedule with Sacramento State, Illinois, New Mexico State, and they'll have improved teams in Oregon and UCLA to cope with as well.
Missouri under 7 1/2 wins -115 (2 units), this club has a nice QB but an over-rated program and head coach. They'll be hardpressed for more than 3 wins this year with only 3 defensive starters for a club that allowed 19 pts per game and scored but 23.
Penn State under 7 wins +120 (1 unit) Joe Pa's club is going to have it rough again however they have 9 starters back on both sides of the ball for a club that had 4 wins last year. 4 wins? Can they improve 3 more games? Very hardpressed when you think about the clubs that beat them last year all improving this year as well. Look at these losses last year, 21-7 at BC, 16-3 at Wisconsin, 16-7 at Minnesota, 20-13 at home vs Purdue, 6-4 at home to Iowa, 21-10 at Ohio State and 14-7 home to N'western. South Florida isn't going to be a cakewalk, Cincy in week 2 and Central Michigan aren't going to be chip shots as well. Minnesota, Ohio State, Purdue and Wisky all at home, and at N'western, Michigan, Illinois and Michigan State. To get 6 big ten wins is going to be very difficult me thinks, and probably no bowl game once again.
UCLA over 6 1/2 wins -115 (2 units) I see some improvement for the Bruins this year by at least 1 game from their 6-6 record last year, losing in their bowl game. 7 offensive players and 8 defensive players should help improve on their record and they have their QB & RB back which makes a big difference.
GLTA
WB:thumbs: