Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick [8/29/17]

LA Dodgers (91-38) at Arizona (73-58)
When: Tuesday, August 29th 2017
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Time: 9:40 ET | TV: SportsNet LA, FSN Arizona
Opening Odds: Los Angeles -123/9.5

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to stay hot when they host the MLB-best Los Angeles Dodgers in the opener of a three-game series on Tuesday night at Chase Field. Arizona, who are 19 games behind the first-place Dodgers in the NL West, hold the top Wild Card spot in the league and have won four straight and six of seven overall. The Diamondbacks pitching has stepped up during this run with the starters holding opponents to two earned runs or less in seven straight contests. Paul Goldschmidt has reached 30 homers and 100 RBIs for the third time in five seasons and is batting .335 at home this year. While Arizona has lost five of its last six matchups to the Dodgers, it may be catching them at the right time as Los Angeles dropped two of three to Milwaukee over the weekend for their first series loss since the first week of June. Ace Clayton Kershaw is set to return from the disabled list this weekend for the Dodgers, who are attempting to avoid their first three-game losing streak since June 4-6. Cody Bellinger is expected to come off the disabled list Wednesday and take over the starting job from 1B Adrian Gonzalez (back).

Pitchers: Dodgers – Rich Hill (9-5, 3.32 ERA) | Diamondbacks – Zack Godley (5-7, 3.15)

Rich Hill is coming off maybe the most hard-luck loss in baseball history when his no-hitter was broken-up in the bottom of the 10th inning at Pittsburgh on a walk-off home run by Josh Harrison. It was his first loss since June 26th against the Angels. Hill is 1-3 lifetime versus the Diamondbacks, but pitched seven innings of one-run ball against them on July 6th.

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Zack Godley has lost three straight starts after giving up three runs over five innings at the New York Mets last week, which followed a 10-strikeout performance in a loss at Minnesota. Godley has been solid in his two outings against the Dodgers this season, giving up one run in 5.2 innings on July 5th and three runs in 6.2 innings on August 8th. Corey Seager is 1-for-11 and Justin Turner 3-for-12 versus Godley.

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I actually like Arizona in this one. I’m not panicking because L.A. has lost two straight – I just like Arizona in this matchup with Godley and they have more to play for right now.

Pick: Diamondbacks +110

BETTING TRENDS:

  • Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 22-4 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 22-5 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.
  • Dodgers are 56-13 in their last 69 games on grass.
  • Dodgers are 56-13 in their last 69 overall.
  • Dodgers are 17-5 in their last 22 games following an off day.
  • Dodgers are 39-13 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. National League West.
  • Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Dodgers are 37-15 in their last 52 Tuesday games.
  • Dodgers are 36-15 in their last 51 road games.
  • Dodgers are 36-16 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Dodgers are 38-17 in their last 55 games following a loss.
  • Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Dodgers are 6-0 in Hill’s last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Dodgers are 5-1 in Hill’s last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in Hill’s last 5 road starts.
  • Dodgers are 4-1 in Hill’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Dodgers are 7-2 in Hill’s last 9 starts.
  • Dodgers are 7-2 in Hill’s last 9 starts on grass.
  • Dodgers are 5-2 in Hill’s last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
  • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
  • Diamondbacks are 9-3 in their last 12 during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 21-7 in their last 28 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Diamondbacks are 13-6 in their last 19 Tuesday games.
  • Diamondbacks are 15-34 in their last 49 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Godley’s last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Godley’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 7-2 in Godley’s last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Diamondbacks are 8-3 in Godley’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Godley’s last 7 home starts.
  • Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
  • Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 11-4 in Dodgers last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 19-7-1 in Dodgers last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Dodgers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 12-5 in Dodgers last 17 games following a loss.
  • Under is 5-0 in Hill’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-1 in Hill’s last 7 starts vs. National League West.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Hill’s last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Hill’s last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  • Under is 5-2 in Hill’s last 7 starts on grass.
  • Under is 5-2 in Hill’s last 7 starts overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 Tuesday games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Over is 22-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 31 games following an off day.
  • Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 34-15-3 in Diamondbacks last 52 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0 in Godley’s last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Godley’s last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0 in Godley’s last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Godley’s last 6 starts on grass.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Godley’s last 6 starts overall.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Godley’s last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Godley’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Godley’s last 5 home starts.
  • Over is 8-3 in Godley’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Dodgers are 49-22 in the last 71 meetings.

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