Tampa Bay Devil Rays (26-39) +190, o/u 9 at Detroit Tigers (42-23), 7 p.m. Eastern
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The best team in the majors (record-wise) looks to make it three wins in a row over one of the worst teams in the league when the Detroit Tigers host the Tampa Bay Devil Rays in Game 3 of a four-game series Wednesday night in MoTown.
Tampa has lost two games in a row, five of its last seven and 15 of its last 21. In other words, they’re not too good. The Rays sit in last place in the AL East, 11 ½ games out of first place.
Detroit has won four games in a row after losing nine of 12. But the Tigers still own the best record in baseball and still sit atop the AL Central, a game and a half clear of the second-place White Sox.
Tampa is 12-24 on the road this season, 17-36 as underdogs.
Detroit is 19-13 at home on the season and 28-12 as favorites.
The Tigers have won the first two games of this four-game set, 4-3 on Monday and 7-1 Tuesday. Detroit took the season series from TB last year 5 games to 2.
Devil Rays’ left-hander Hendrickson (3-7, 4.11) has been alright this year, but he always seems to have one rough stretch each time out. Hendrickson has allowed 12 ER and 30 H+W in his last 19 1/3 IP. In his most recent start vs. Detroit, which came last July, Hendrickson got clipped for 6 ER in just 2 2/3 innings of work.
Tampa is 3-7 in Hendrickson’s starts this year, the over/under 2-8.
Tigers’ starter Bonderman (6-4, 4.29) has given up 8 ER and 26 H+W in his last 21 IP. Strangely, Bonderman carries a 5.89 ERA at home this year. Bonderman has not started a game vs. Tampa Bay since 2004.
Detroit is 7-6 in Bonderman’s starts this year, the o/u 4-8.
The Rays rank dead last in the AL with a .302 team OBP, and are averaging just 4.2 runs per game.
The Tigers own a .328 team OBP, 5th-worst in the league, and average 5.0 RPG, 4.4 vs. LH pitching. Detroit has, however, hit double-digits in the hits column each of its last three games.
The Tampa bullpen has allowed 9 ER and 28 H+W in its last 18 IP.
The Tigers bullpen has given up 11 ER and 26 H+W in its last 17 innings of work.
The o/u is 32-32 in Rays games this year, but 22-40 in Detroit games and 11-19 at Comerica Park.
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The Ultimatecapper Pick: We like the under here. Beware of betting against Hendrickson. He's a sneaky bastard of a pitcher that can throw a gem when you least expect it. We're not about to fade him in this gigantic ballpark.
