Cardinals vs Cubs Preview, Odds, Trends, & Free Pick – [6/4/17]

St Louis (26-27) at Chicago Cubs (27-27)
When: Sunday, June 4th 2017
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Time: 7:35 ET | TV: ESPN

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The Chicago Cubs, who are now back at the .500 mark, will look for a three-game sweep of their nemesis the St. Louis Cardinals on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. The Cubs came into this weekend series two games under .500 after a dreadful 0-6 road trip, but manager Joe Madden shuffled the lineup a bit and it has paid off the past two days. Slugger Kyle Schwarber began the season as the Cubs’ leadoff hitter but is batting just .166 and was dropped to the No. 9 spot in the lineup Saturday. He responded with a go-ahead grand slam in the seventh inning, helping Chicago to a 5-3 victory, and will continue to bat ninth Sunday, Maddon told reporters. The Cubs also started second baseman Javier Baez at shortstop in place of slumping Addison Russell, and Baez had two hits, including a home run leading off the third inning. Chicago has 33 home runs in their last 23 games including three in the first two games of this series. The Cardinals continued to struggle offensively, failing to score more than four runs in any of their last 10 games, going 3-7 over that span. St. Louis has dropped under .500, but are only 1.5 games back of Milwaukee in the NL Central standings. The Cardinals will continue their seven-game road trip with four in Cincinnati starting on Monday.

Pitchers: Cardinals – Michael Wacha (2-3, 3.99 ERA) | Cubs – Kyle Hendricks (4-3, 3.75)

Michael Wacha is looking for his first win since April 19th when he beat Pittsburgh. The Cardinals are 1-5 in Wacha’s last six starts and he hasn’t made it through five innings in his last two outings. He gave up four runs (three earned) while lasting just three innings on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Wacha is 4-4 with a 5.90 ERA in 12 games (10 starts) against the Cubs. Anthony Rizzo is 13-for-28 with three home runs versus Wacha

Kyle Hendricks was cruising in his last outing at San Diego on Monday, but a grand slam in the fourth inning by Hunter Renfore killed his night. Aside from that, Hendricks has been pretty good lately, posting quality starts in five of his last seven outings. He has a 1.96 ERA in his last three home starts. Hendricks is 1-2 with a 3.56 ERA in seven starts against the Cardinals.

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These are two pitchers and two teams that are going in opposite directions. The Cubs seem to have their momentum back and could be in for a big winning streak. It’s a lot, but I’m laying the 160 on the home team.

Pick: Cubs -160

W/L TRENDS

St. Louis
  • Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
  • Cardinals are 42-18 in their last 60 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
  • Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
  • Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Cardinals are 2-7 in their last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Cardinals are 5-1 in Wacha’s last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Cardinals are 5-1 in Wacha’s last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 in Wacha’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • Cardinals are 5-2 in Wacha’s last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 in Wacha’s last 6 starts.
  • Cardinals are 1-5 in Wacha’s last 6 starts on grass.
Chi. Cubs
  • Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 80-34 in their last 114 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Cubs are 49-22 in their last 71 home games.
  • Cubs are 97-46 in their last 144 vs. National League Central.
  • Cubs are 37-18 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
  • Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
  • Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.
  • Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 Sunday games.
  • Cubs are 6-1 in Hendricks’ last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Cubs are 5-2 in Hendricks’ last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Cubs are 13-6 in Hendricks’ last 19 home starts.

OU TRENDS

St. Louis
  • Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 on grass.
  • Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games following a loss.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 20-6-3 in Cardinals last 29 Sunday games.
  • Over is 10-4 in Cardinals last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 17-8 in Cardinals last 25 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Over is 5-0 in Wachas last 5 Sunday starts.
  • Over is 7-1 in Wachas last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
  • Over is 13-2-1 in Wacha’s last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 13-3-1 in Wacha’s last 17 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 21-5-2 in Wacha’s last 28 road starts.
  • Over is 19-6-1 in Wacha’s last 26 starts vs. National League Central.
  • Over is 18-6-2 in Wacha’s last 26 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
  • Over is 35-15-1 in Wacha’s last 51 starts on grass.
  • Over is 35-15-1 in Wacha’s last 51 starts overall.
Chi. Cubs
  • Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
  • Under is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a win.
  • Over is 15-5-1 in Cubs last 21 home games.
  • Over is 14-5 in Cubs last 19 vs. National League Central.
  • Over is 5-2-1 in Cubs last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
  • Under is 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 Sunday starts.
  • Under is 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Hendricks’ last 7 starts on grass.
  • Under is 5-2 in Hendricks’ last 7 starts overall.
  • Under is 10-4-1 in Hendricks’ last 15 home starts.
  • Over is 5-2 in Hendricks’ last 7 starts vs. National League Central.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 4-0 in Wacha’s last 4 road starts vs. Cubs.
  • Over is 10-1 in Wacha’s last 11 starts vs. Cubs.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hendricks’ last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.
  • Cardinals are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
  • Cardinals are 1-4 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. Cubs.

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