Milwaukee Brewers (23-23) +120, o/u 10 ½ at Cincinnati Reds (27-19), 6 p.m. Eastern
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Cincinnati Reds look for a sweep of a 3-game series when they take on the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday night at the Great American Ballpark.
Cincinnati has won the first two games of this series, outscoring the Brewers 22-8. The Reds are 5-1 vs. Milwaukee this season, with the over/under going 4-2.
Milwaukee took the season series with the Reds last year 10 games to 6, with the o/u going 8-8.
Cincy sits in 2nd place in the NL Central, 3 games back of division-leading St. Louis. The Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are in 4th place in the division, 7 back of the Cardinals.
Milwaukee is 6-14 on the road this season, 8-11 as underdogs.
Cincinnati is 14-8 at home this year, 13-6 as favorites.
Brewer left-hander Doug Davis (2-3, 5.14) has allowed 10 ER in his last 19 IP. The o/u is 7-3 in games Davis has started this year. Also, Davis has walked 39 batters in 56 IP this year, tied for the most in the majors.
In 4 starts vs. the Reds this year and last, Davis has allowed 10 ER and 30 H+W in 29 IP.
Cincy’s Claussen (3-4, 4.99) has given up 9 ER in his last 20 1/3 IP. The o/u is 3-4 in Claussen’s starts this year.
In 6 starts vs. the Brewers this year and last, Claussen has allowed 27 ER and 56 H+W in 29 IP. And the Reds have lost Claussen’s last eight starts vs. Milwaukee.
The Brewers own a .343 team OBP, 5th-best in the NL, and average 5.0 RPG. Also, Milwaukee is averaging 5.9 RPG vs. left-handed pitching, and leads the majors with 66 HRs.
Cincy owns a .352 team OBP, 2nd in the league, and averages 5.4 RPG. And the Reds are averaging 6.4 RPG vs. left-handed pitching.
The Brewer bullpen has been terrible lately, allowing 22 ER and 31 H+W in its last 20 1/3 IP.
The Cincinnati pen has given up 7 ER and 14 H+W in its last 18 2/3 IP.
Milwaukee catcher Damian Miller (.300, 4 HR) is listed as questionable for Wednesday’s game with a bad back.
The o/u is 26-17 in Brewers games this year, 22-20 in Reds games, and 10-10 at the Great American Ballpark.
The Ultimatecapper Pick: Doug Davis has problems getting the ball over the plate. The Reds are playing decent ball as well. Gotta side with Cinci here!
