Boise State vs Nevada Trends and Free Pick [11/26/2010]

Boise State (10-0, 6-0) at Nevada (10-1, 5-1)
When: Friday, November 26th, 2010
Where: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada
Time: 7:15 PT
TV: ESPN2

The betting line for this year’s WAC battle between the undefeated Boise State Broncos and Nevada Wolfpack opened up at -14 in favor of the Broncos at Bovada Sportsbook. The line has moved up to -14.5 as of Thursday night. The total opened at 68 and not surprisingly has gone to 68.5. A heavy 68% of the betting public is on Boise while 70% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.


Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Wolf Pack are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.

Wolf Pack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games on fieldturf.

Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a favorite.

Over is 8-2 in Wolf Pack last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Over is 8-2 in Wolf Pack last 10 games in November.

Over is 7-2 in Wolf Pack last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Nevada.

Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

My Prediction: No point spread seems too large for Boise State as they have covered 8 of their 10 games, but this Nevada team is very good and can really run the ball. This is the biggest game in Reno in years and I think the Wolfpack will be up to the challenge and keep it close.

Nevada +14.5

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