Arkansas vs Ohio State Odds, Trends, and Free Pick – 2011 Sugar Bowl ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
The betting line for this year’s Sugar Bowl between the Arkansas Razorbacks out of the SEC and Ohio State Buckeyes out of the Big Ten, has gone back and forth from 3.5 to 3 in favor of Ohio State at Sportsbook.com. The game went OFF the board for a short time when it was announced 5 Ohio State players were going to be suspended, but it so happens they get to play in this game and not the first 5 next year. Go figure. The total opened at 57.5 and now sits at 56.5. Right now, 65% of the betting public is on Arkansas and 64% are on the over. To help you better decide who to bet, take a look at these trends for tonight.
Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Razorbacks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Bowl games.
Buckeyes are 29-11-1 ATS in their last 41 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Razorbacks last 7 bowl games.
Over is 6-1 in Razorbacks last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-2-1 in Buckeyes last 8 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-2 in Buckeyes last 7 neutral site games.
My Prediction: This is a touch game to call. It’s an outstanding matchup with two teams who were great against the spread this year. They were a combined 18-5-1 ATS in 2010. There will be much talk about the suspended Ohio State players, but once the game gets going it will business as usual for Jim Tressel and his Buckeyes. I think the Big Ten gets a little redemption tonight from the New Year’s Day massacre in which they went 0-5.
Ohio State -3
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