LA Angels (43-43) at Minnesota (41-40)
When: Monday, July 3rd 2017
Where: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Time: 8:105 ET | TV: FSN West, FSN North
Opening Odds: Minnesota -130/11
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The Minnesota Twins return home to begin a seven-game homestand that will take them to the All-Star Break when they host the Los Angeles Angels in the opener of a three-game set on Monday night. Minnesota reclaimed first place in the American League Central for a day following a three-game sweep at Cleveland in late June, improving to 23-9 on the road, but went 2-6 over the remainder of their 11-game trip and are now three games back of the Indians. Minnesota owns a 16-25 record at Target Field – good for a league-worst .390 home winning percentage. The Angels are coming off a 5-3 home loss in Sunday’s rubber match against Seattle and have dropped three of four overall. Angels DH Albert Pujols is having a rough time of it, going 3-for-26 over his last seven games and has not homered since June 17th. Yunel Escobar on the other hand has been on a tear, batting .381 while hitting safely in 10 of 12 games for the Halos. The Angels are just one game back of the second Wild Card spot in the American League. Minnesota has won seven of the last 10 meetings between the teams, including three of four at Angel Stadium to begin the month of June. The Over is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings between these two clubs in Minnesota.
Pitchers: Angels – Alex Meyer (3-4, 3.74 ERA) | Twins – Adalberto Mejia (3-3, 4.38)
Alex Meyer allowed just one hit in six scoreless inning last time out against the Los Angeles Dodgers, but issued a career high-tying five walks, which cut his outing short. It was the third time in his last five outings that he did not give up an earned run, wrapping up June in which he went 1-2 despite a 2.25 ERA in six starts. Meyer settled for another no-decision on June 1st against Minnesota, allowing one run in six innings.
Adalberto Mejia is coming off solid back-to-back outings in which he didn’t allow a run in either. He earned the victory on Wednesday over the Boston Red Sox, giving up five hits and a walk over 5.2 innings. Mejia, who blanked Cleveland across five innings five days earlier, has allowed a total of two runs over his last three starts after surrendering nine (eight earned) on June 12th against Seattle. Mejia did not factor in the decision in his head-to-head battle with tonight’s starter Meyer on June 1st despite giving up one run in six innings.
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These teams have a history of going over the total while playing in Minnesota, but both offenses have struggled this season. The Twins are 20th in runs scored while the Angels are 25th and still don’t have Mike Trout. Both of these pitchers have been solid lately. I’ll take the under here tonight. Don’t forget, we have a few more picks on our MLB page.
Pick: Under 10 -115
W/L TRENDS
| LA Angels |
- Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Angels are 2-7 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Angels are 7-1 in Meyer’s last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Angels are 2-5 in Meyer’s last 7 starts.
- Angels are 2-5 in Meyer’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Angels are 1-4 in Meyer’s last 5 road starts.
- Angels are 0-4 in Meyer’s last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Angels are 0-4 in Meyer’s last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Angels are 0-4 in Meyer’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Angels are 0-4 in Meyer’s last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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| Minnesota |
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 3-7 in their last 10 Monday games.
- Twins are 22-58 in their last 80 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Twins are 4-11 in their last 15 home games.
- Twins are 2-8 in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
- Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
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OU TRENDS
| LA Angels |
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Angels last 16 Monday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-2 in Angels last 9 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Angels last 9 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Meyer’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Meyer’s last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Meyer’s last 6 road starts.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Meyer’s last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Meyer’s last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Meyer’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
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| Minnesota |
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 8-2 in Twins last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 10-3 in Twins last 13 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 50-18-2 in Twins last 70 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 14-6 in Twins last 20 overall.
- Under is 14-6 in Twins last 20 on grass.
- Over is 63-28-6 in Twins last 97 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 34-16-3 in Twins last 53 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-2 in Mejia’s last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Mejia’s last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Mejia’s last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
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HEAD TO HEAD
- Over is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings in Minnesota.
- Over is 43-20-5 in the last 68 meetings.
- Angels are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings.
- Angels are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
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