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October 17th 2007
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) at Detroit
Lions (3-2 SU, 2-2-1 ATS)
Tampa Bay is proving to be a bit of an enigma
this season. One thing’s for sure: despite a winning record, the
Buccaneers have their fair share of negative attributes. Tampa Bay is
3-17 ATS on the road against non-division foes and 3-15 ATS away from
home in October following a SU win. They have also dropped nine of 13
ATS after allowing 10 points or less. Detroit has not been good to bettors
as home favorites (10-20) and it has failed to cash in 25 of 36 as favorites
against non-division opposition. Tampa Bay has gone under in 19 of 26
on the road after a non-conference game.
Tennessee Titans (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) at Houston
Texans (3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS)
Tennessee has won eight of its last 10 against Houston
and won and covered the spread in four of five road games. The Titans
are 8-2 as road favorites following a SU road loss. The Texans are 8-4-1
ATS at home against a division foe. Six of the past eight series matchups
have gone over.
New York Jets (1-5 SU, 1-4-1 ATS) at Cincinnati
Bengals (1-4 SU, 1-3-1 ATS)
The New York Jets have lost 11 of 14 and failed to cash
10 of 14 on the road outside their division. The Jets have also dropped
their last six October road outings ATS and failed to cash at a 20-10-2
clip as underdogs. Cincinnati has faltered in eight of its last nine October
tests ATS and in six of its last seven against AFC-East opponents. The
Bengals are 14-8 ATS at Paul Brown Stadium versus a non-division rival
with a losing record.
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4 SU, 1-5 ATS) at Denver
Broncos (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Pittsburgh is coming off a bye week after an impressive
21-0 home-field thumping of the Seattle Seahawks two weeks ago. Denver
is coming off a bye week after a very unimpressive 41-3 thrashing at the
hands of the San Diego Chargers. The Seattle-Pittsburgh game was supposed
to be a close game, but Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers made it look
easy. The Steelers could be for real this season, while the Broncos are
right on the cusp of labeling this a ‘rebuilding’ year. Pittsburgh
is 5-1 SU and ATS in its past six games, and is 4-2 ATS in its past six
games when playing on the road against Denver. Denver is 0-5 ATS in its
past five games, and 2-4 SU in its past six. The total has gone over in
four of Pittsburgh's past six games in Denver.
St. Louis Rams (0-6 SU, 0-6 ATS) at Seattle Seahawks
(3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS)
It was just two weeks ago that the Seahawks were considered a decent team,
if not a possible contender. Two butt-kickings later, and the ‘Hawks
are mired in mediocrity. But they are still getting some respect from
oddsmakers – and St. Louis is getting none – as Seattle is
a 10-point favorite. Maybe that’s because St. Louis only managed
10 first downs in a 22-3 loss against Baltimore last Sunday. The Rams
actually got some good news this week, confirming that quarterback Marc
Bulger is expected to start against the Seahawks after missing two weeks
with broken ribs. St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its past five games on the road
against Seattle, and is 5-2 ATS in its past seven against Seattle. Seattle
is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home.
Indianapolis Colts (5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) at Jacksonville Jaguars
(4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Jacksonville is a very impressive 7-2-1 ATS in its past
10 clashes with the Super Bowl champions. The Jaguars are an imposing
17-4-1 as underdogs and they have cashed in 21 of 28 at home following
a division win. But the Colts have impressive credentials, as well, going
8-1 ATS in Weeks 5-9, and covering the spread in nine of 10 as away favorites.
Indianapolis is 13-6-2 as road favorites of 3½ -points or less
and 7-1 as favorites of more than two points when playing on Monday Night
Football. Five of the last six games at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium
have gone over.
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