2007 International Bowl Preview and PIck ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Western Michigan Broncos (8-4) +7.5, o/u 42 vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-5) on Saturday, January 6, 2007 at 12:00 noon. Eastern on ESPN
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Western Michigan Broncos come into this game as losers of 2 of their last 3 games.
The Cincinnati Bearcats finished the season winning 4 of their last 5 games. Cincinnati will be working with a new coaching staff as Head Coach Mark Dantonio took the Michigan State job and has already left the team. The Bearcats will be coached by their new Head Coach, Brian Kelly, from Central Michigan.
The Broncos, 2nd in the Mid-American West division, will be making their first bowl appearance.
The Bearcats, tied for 4th in the Big East, returns to the bowl season after missing out last year. They defeated Marshall in the 2004 Fort Worth Bowl.
These teams have no recent matchups and did not face any common opponents this season.
Western Michigan was 7-5 against the spread this season. Cincinnati was 7-3-1 against the number this year.
The Broncos are led by Senior QB Ryan Cubit. He is completing 62.4% of his passes and has thrown for 1,954 yards this season. He has thrown for 15 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this season.
The Bearcats are split time with their QBs as Dustin Grutza and Nick Davila both see action. They have combined for 2,468 yards, 15 TDs and 14 interceptions this season.
Western Michigan averages 137 yards rushing per game and their defense allows 72 yards rushing per game. Cincinnati is being outrushing their opponents by a margin of 134-107.
The Broncos rank 68th in scoring offense in Division 1 (out of 119 teams) by averaging 22.9 points per game. Cincinnati is ranked 84th in scoring offense by averaging 20.6 points per game.
Western Michigan is ranked 84th in total yards per game with 315.5 yards per game. Cincinnati is ranked 61st with an average of 339.9 yards per game.
The Broncos defense is ranked 36th giving up an average 19.3 points per game. The Bearcats defense is ranked 34th giving up an average 19.2 points per game.
Western Michigans defense is ranked 11th in total yards by giving up an average of 269.4 yards per game. Cincinnati is ranked 31st giving up 304.2 yards per game.
Western Michigan averages 4.7 yards per play while giving up an average of 4.7 yards per play. Cincinnati averages 5.2 YPP while giving up 5.0 YPP.
The Over/Under is 6-6 in Western Michigan games this season, 4-7 in Cincinnati games.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Broncos #71 at 68.3. Cincinnati ranks #40 at 76.48.
The opening line on this game was Cincinnati -8.5 with a total of 41.5. The line has moved down to Cincinnati -7.5 and the total has went up to 42. At the time of this writing the betting public was backing Western Michigan by a margin of 65%-35%.
The Ultimatecapper Prediction: When looking at the stats of these teams they appear to be pretty even with a slight edge to Western Michigan. Cincinnati has played the tougher schedule but we feel that the change in coaching staff will hurt their continuity. We suggest wager on Broncos plus the points in this game.
Cincinnati 21 Western Michigan 17
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