2006 Alamo Bowl Preview and Pick ]]> include($base_url . “/includes/header.htm”); ?>
|Iowa Hawkeyes (6-6) +9, o/u 53 vs. Texas Longhorns(9-3) on Saturday, December 30, 2006 at 4:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN
by Ultimatecapper.com Staff
The Iowa Hawkeyes come into this game with a 3 game losing streakand having lost 5 of their last 6. They have only averaged 17.2points per game in those losses.
The Texas Longhorns have lost their last 2 games after positioningthemselves for a chance to repeat as National Champs.
The Hawkeyes, finished a disappointing 8th in the Big Ten Conference,winning just 2 conference games. They will be making their 6thstraight bowl appearance and are 3-2 in their last 5 bowl games.
The Longhorns, 2nd in the Big 12 South Division, will be makingtheir 9th straight bowl appearance. Last year they defeated USCby a score of 41-38 to win the National Championship.
These two teams have no recent matchups but did have 2 commonopponents in Iowa State and Ohio State. Iowa defeated Iowa State27-17 and lost to Ohio State 17-38. Texas beat Iowa State 37-14and lost to Ohio State 7-24.
Iowa was a dreadful 1-10 against the spread this season. Texaswas 5-6 against the number this year.
The Hawkeyes are led by Senior QB Drew Tate. He is completing58.7% of his passes and has thrown for 2,349 yards this season.He has thrown for 16 touchdowns and has 12 interceptions thisseason.
The Longhorns are led by Freshman QB Colt McCoy who is lookingto bounce back from a shoulder injury that sidelined him in thefinal game. He is expected to play in the bowl game. McCoy hasa 68.7% completion rate and has thrown for 2,262 yards this season.He has 27 touchdowns and has thrown 7 interceptions.
Iowa averages 147 yards rushing per game and their defense allows138 yards rushing per game. Texas is also outtrushing their opponentsby a margin of 170-60.
The Hawkeyes rank 58th in scoring offense in Division 1 (outof 119 teams) by averaging 23.8 points per game. Texas is ranked5th in scoring offense by averaging 36.8 points per game.
Iowa is ranked 32nd in total yards per game with 376.7 yardsper game. Texas is ranked 23rd with an average of 392.6 yardsper game.
The Hawkeyes defense is ranked 45th giving up an average 20.2points per game. The Longhorns’ defense is ranked 25th givingup an average 17.8 points per game.
Iowa’s defense is ranked 68th in total yards by giving up anaverage of 340.9 yards per game. Texas is ranked 22nd giving up292.9 yards per game.
Iowa averages 5.8 yards per play while giving up an averageof 4.9 yards per play. Texas averages 5.9 YPP while giving up5.1 YPP.
The Over/Under is 5-6 in Iowa games this season, 5-6 in Texasgames.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Hawkeyes#48 at 74.90. Texas ranks #19 at 84.8.
The opening line on this game was Texas -11.5 with a total of53.5. The line has moved down to Texas -9 while the total hasmoved down to 53. At the time of this writing the betting publicwas backing Texas by a margin of 72%-28%.
The Ultimatecapper Prediction: We suggest a wager onunder the total of 53.
Texas 31 Iowa 17
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